0dtHERO Signal of the Month (so far)
Confluence means stronK signals
You know I love stronK signals, so I use confluences to get in most of my trades, especially this year that I’m focused on taking less trades with a higher chance of success.
So let’s dive in directly into the signals that gave me the entry for a 50 handle ES trade this morning.
First signal: Price and Flow slope divergence
Letter soup, but it just means price goes up, flow goes down, and vice-versa.
In this case, SPX price was coming down, in a downtrend → negative slope.
SPX flow said the opposite, uptrending while the price declined → positive slope.
Slopes diverging, first good signal that a reversal is possible.
Second signal: INDEX-ETF desync
SPY made a NHOD at 9:42 am, SPX didn’t. I call this a desynchronization between INDEX and ETF with price intraday, usually happens at HOD and LOD.
This generates a confluence, so we go and check what SPY and QQQ flows are doing.
Third signal: SPY and QQQ flows agreeing with SPX flow
Hah, that’s it, we have a 3 for 1 confluence and it’s time to go long.
First PT: SPX & SPY NHOD sync
The first thing we target is the sync of index and ETF, and that happens at 10:08. At 10:15 am UME is strong and green, so we keep runners for more profits, possibly a touch of 5800.
And that’s exactly what we get with this trade.
Flow, Index-ETF desync + flow. What a trade.
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