savage-notes

A collection of 210 posts

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-12-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Once again, we haven’t seen downside impact from the bearish flows this week. One final shakeout before a (for now) likely Santa rally? Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a house with trading profits after under a

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-11-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’re yet to see the outcome of those bear flows from early in the week, as yesterday’s rates decision pushed us into a test of 6900 SPX. That means a test of 6800 is still pending. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-10-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Welcome to yet another FOMC day. Violent intraday price swings are what I expect based on the flows coming into this rates decision and JPow’s press conference. Fed days are usually tricky, but this one could be even trickier, so use caution. Let’s

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-09-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ For the first time in a couple of weeks, flow printed on the bear side in stocks and the Mag7. So naturally, we expect a test of 6800 soon — maybe today. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-08-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Welcome to FOMC week. As mentioned in our weekly calendar notes, all eyes are on Wednesday with the rates decision and the Fed chair press conference. 7000 SPX is a massive level, and we expect it to be the upside target for the month if

savage-notes

Weekly market calendar: Dec 8-12, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: The bounce continues as we head into FOMC week with yet another rates decision and JPow’s press conference. Under the hood, no signs of selling yet — flow has been steadily bullish as we slowly

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-05-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ There’s less and less fuel in the daily flow in stocks and the Mag7, hinting at a continuation of this sideways action with a slight drift to upside. More of the same. So wait for the strongest confluences before taking positions. Let’s have

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-04-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We’ve been consolidating this week as we wait for the main event of the year with the rates decision next Wednesday. Not much to expect — in a non-sarcastic way — besides more of the same, unless flows change on the daily outlook. As usual, I’

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 12-02-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flow in the individual S&P 500 names was completely mute in yesterday’s session. Mag7 had a small hit, bringing $QQQ to a slight gap up. Overall, the outcome of this session is open — but since we’d been in bullish flow mode

weekly-calendar

Weekly market calendar: Dec. 1-5, 2025 and Morning Market Notes

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: $SPX & $QQQ On November 21, I wrote: The trend is down now. Bounces should be treated as dead cats until adequate bull flow is deployed. And we stick to that plan. #BTC is down

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-28-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ EOM sesh. That's all I'll say. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a house with trading profits after under a year with 0DTHERO. From unprofitable rat race to "weekly day trading payout greater

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-26-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ As mentioned last night on Twitter, flow stayed bullish and here we are with possible gap-ups ahead of the bell. This is your gobble-gobble eve and we’re here for it. If I were a betting man, I’d say today’s flows won’t

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-25-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flows are still on the bull side, so once again shorts should have a hard time until we break below 6650. Strong signals only, and don’t fight the current trend. Let’s have a sesh. Weekly Payout > Monthly Salary jmtiffany is building a

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-24-25

Market Calendar $SPX We mentioned the small bull flow leftover on Friday, and futures opened with a gap up. The key level to watch is 6600 SPX, with no reason to pursue shorts unless we break below it. These dead cat bounces can be persistent. Keep an eye on Friday’

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-21-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Flow called it again, but this time in a very subtle way: There’s a tiny bull flow here, nothing crazy. If anything, whatever happens today or tomorrow pre-market shouldn’t be what ends up moving the market — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) November 19, 2025 $NVDA beating

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-20-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ $NVDA delivered again. NFP drastically beat expectations in the employment report. We have no option but to run the 2.0. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks to trade like the version of you that already made it ⚡ When flow hits before price moves,

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-19-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Without support from the flows I usually mention, SPX has been behaving exactly as expected — strong price swings intraday without continuation in either direction. No edge has been present since Friday, but I believe that’s about to change. $NVDA reports after hours, and tomorrow

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-18-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ It seems the move yesterday was mostly driven by 0DTE. But we were able to capture the sell signal ahead of time with flow. Today, we will do the exact same thing. Patience for the strong signals only. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-17-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ The main events of the week are Wednesday and Thursday with $NVDA earnings and NFP. No edge for direction at the moment. We’ll be watching flow closely for clues as usual. Let’s have a sesh. ⚡ Two weeks to trade like the version of

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-14-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We watched flows turn bearish throughout yesterday’s session, as noted in my tweets — and here we are below 6700 again. Watching flows turn bearish again after everyone got bullish last Friday pic.twitter.com/3e8vVmAJfu — wallstsavage (@wallstsavage80) November 13, 2025 Being down pre-market like

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Morning Market Notes 11-13-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ They skipped October’s CPI even with the government open. I guess we’re officially a banana republic now. Flows yesterday started very bearish in S&P stocks and the Mag7 but subsided into the close. There’s no material negative notional to heavily

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-12-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ We mentioned Monday's flows hinting at an upside continuation in our notes yesterday, and that's exactly what we're seeing so far, including this pre-market gap up. Tuesday's flows were muted, so we don't have much

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-11-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ Happy Veterans Day 🇺🇸 The $SPX had a chance to go and test 6750 in yesterday’s session, but a heavy flow shift from bearish (which led to the early selling) to bullish brought it back above 6800 in a rebound for stocks, including the Mag7.

savage-notes

Morning Market Notes 11-10-25

Market Calendar $SPX & $QQQ From Thursday 10/30 through Friday’s lows, we saw about a 230-point decline on deep bearish flows, and from those lows to this open we’ve had a ~150-point bounce without flow help. We see 6750 as the pivot level. Above it, a test

savage-notes

Weekly market calendar: Nov 10-14, 2025

Hey traders, Here’s what’s on the radar for this week’s market events: What a sell signal we had from 0DTHERO flow. Last week I wrote: Deep bearish flows across the board in the Mag7. We’re of the impression that if $GOOGL didn’t have a strong